By Jeff Mitchell
A poll of the hotly contested CA-11 race released late Thursday shows that incumbent Democratic Congressman Jerry McNerney holds a commanding 11 percentage point lead over GOP challenger Dean Andal.
The SurveyUSA poll, commissioned by KPIX-TV, the San Francisco CBS affiliate, showed the McNerney lead the Stockton Republican 51 to 41 percent.
While Andal could not be reached for comment, McNerney said he was pleased by the polling results.
"The results of the KPIX poll are encouraging and prove that what we've been doing - focusing on the needs and concerns of people in the district, tackling the issues important to the middle class like the economy, energy and honoring our veterans - is what's matters to people," McNerney said in a press statement. "With just under three weeks to go until Election Day, I'll continue to be out on the trail every day meeting with voters and working with grassroots volunteers from across the district who are spreading our positive message."
The poll showed that among men, McNerney leads by 2 points; among women, McNerney leads by a whopping 18 percentage points. Among voters age 18 to 49, McNerney leads by 5 points; while among voters age 50-plus, the congressman enjoys a 17 percentage point lead.
McNerney also leads Andal by single digits among white voters and by double-digits among minorities. Should minorities vote in smaller numbers than SurveyUSA here forecasts, McNerney's support may be overstated. The polling company also noted that early voting began in California on Oct. 6 and that among voters who have already cast ballots, the congressman leads by 11 percentage points.
The polling was conducted Tuesday and Wednesday of this week of 650 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.
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